Smartest Roulette Bet

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So what’s the secret, what’s the smartest bet you can make in roulette ? There’s much discussion on this, a single number, a range of outside bets and some betting systems have extremely complicated options. Well, it’s quite logical really, the best roulette bets have to be the ones that the casinos dislike the most. Remember in all casino based games including roulette there is a negative expectation, that is there is a probability that the player will eventually lose.

It’s obviously difficult to find roulette strategies that work when the odds are that you will end up losing. Of course this doesn’t always happen sometimes people will win fabulous amounts of money and defy this expectation. One of the tricks to playing roulette is to walk out of the casino when this happens – quickly. In fact if you’re up big time then you should be ready to run away the minute that ball lands. You can work through one of the many systems, like the dreary Oscar’s Grind or the hit or miss martingale but without an exit strategy it will all end the same way.

Always play European Roulette if you have a choice

Before considering which bet to place, it’s actually crucial to consider where you place it. There’s a vital decision to be made whether you’re playing in a real casino or playing online and that’s the type of roulette wheel you use. There are two main types commonly described as American Roulette and European Roulette – irrespective of your nationality always play on a European roulette table if you have the chance. It has one less zero which significantly reduces the house edge (it’s built in advantage in all casino games). It might sound trivial but playing on the wrong wheel makes you much more likely to lose money on all your options including even money bets.


Time is a Factor in Any Casino

Have you ever forgotten a watch and tried to find out the time in a casino? It’s not easy, there’s rarely any clocks on the walls and very few windows. It’s easy to lose hours playing roulette games in the early hours. There’s a reason for that – the simple fact is that the longer you play, the more you are subjecting your bank roll to this negative expectation of the house edge and it will eventually catch up with you. Roulette odds and pay outs are carefully designed to help the house not the player. That generous 35 to 1 pay out is not so great when you consider the actual odds. Nor is red black and even money bet despite usually being described like that. Again the single zero on European roulette and the two zeros on the American roulette table skew the odds in the house’s favour.

The less actual bets you make the more chance you have of being a winner. This is crucial to remember, don’t be too concerned with what’s the best bet on roulette table, more important is how many bets you should place.

Many of course would argue (with some justification) that the minimum number of bets is actually none at all. But it is true that to maximise your odds of winning you’d be best to walk into the casino, place one large bet then leave immediately. It really doesn’t sound much fun and it would make for a pretty dull evening although of course that could really depend on the result of your one single large bet.

You see the casino are well aware that in the short term there will be fluctuations. You will see lots of weird results and strange winning streaks in the short term, but experience tells them that these never last very long.

The longer someone plays the more likely the expectation will be realised, if you bet indefinitely whatever your bank balance you will eventually lose. It’s the large, I mean really large single bets that really worry a casino – in a short term anything can happen, a few spins could easily go against the odds. This is what keeps the casino owner sweating at night and with lady luck behind you how to win at roulette.

In essence yes, the way to maximise your potential of winning is to minimise the number of bets. Walking into a casino, putting your entire bankroll down on an even money number spin and walking out whatever the result is the way to play. There is no doubt that this is one bet system is the best roulette betting strategy, although perhaps a little short on fun. The casino seeks to outlast the player and ride out these small variations, one off large bets don’t allow them chance to do this. It is the very simple reason why a house has table limits, so they can reduce their risks to individual spins. The casino would much rather take your cash off you with a 1000 – $2 dollar bets than win it all of you in a single spin. For the simple reason they are far more likely to win in the long term scenario and less likely to hit a big roulette payout.

But of course knowing this is not likely to change most people’s behaviour in a casino, after all who wants to put one bet on and then leave. Playing roulette online or off is supposed to be fun but knowing these expectations can make a difference to how people play. If half way through the evening you find yourself way up, then think to yourself the expectation at the start of the night was that you would lose. If you carry on playing you are giving that expectation more chance to happen. That simple piece of knowledge is worth more than any free roulette strategy, believe me.

How many times have you heard about some huge wins, when a player takes a casino for millions. These luck streaks happen but the only reason a casino needs to worry is if the winners stop playing, their negative expectation will catch up to them if they carry on. Of course they might continue their gambling at a different casino – but the player’s expectation will still be reached.

No you can’t enjoy roulette or most games by playing purely with these sort of tactics. Of course you can minimise the negative expectation against you, the advantage known as the house edge. As mentioned, in the case of roulette always play on European roulette tables if possible, as they have one less zero than the American roulette wheel plus they normally allow En Prison or La Partage rules which further reduce the house advantage.

If you’re playing online then you used to be able to take this a step further. There was one roulette game which actually had no advantage – it was completely equal 50-50. It used to be very popular on the Betfair casino site and was called zero edge. It offered by far the best odds of any online casino site on even money, outside bets and single number gambles. Unfortunately it’s long gone, I presume it started to lose money. There’s often rumours about another zero edge roulette game that is one that has no zero on the wheel but they they don’t seem to last long. I was told that Casino.Com had a zero edge wheel but there’s no obvious sign when I checked last.

Anyway, perhaps getting too involved with the mathematical odds of roulette is a mistake. The majority of casino games should be played primarily as entertainment not as investment. After all as explained the smartest bet in roulette is not exactly exciting! If you’re more interested in profit than fun, then there are better options to maximise your return.

It’s worth playing around with the test games and wheels if you are unsure about a particular brand. With most you can play for free for a while before you try for real money, often this is a great way to try out any systems. Remember though the algorithm which calculates on the free games may be different. It’s wise to only use ‘live casinos’ though for any systems, computer roulette can be easily adjusted to ensure a maximum level of payout.

Roulette is one of the most popular table games in modern casinos. Although variations on the game have been around for several hundred years, there are now only 3 variations in American casinos.

You’re likely already familiar with American roulette and European roulette. The most recent addition to the table game inventory is Sands Roulette.

Which of these games should you play?

How should you bet on them?

What’s the smartest strategy for roulette betting?

I’ll explain all that in this post:

What Are the Differences between American, European, and Sands Roulette?

Although these games have a few other differences, the most significant distinction between the 3 versions of roulette are the number of green slots the wheels contain.

Every roulette wheel has at least 37 slots.

Smartest Roulette Bet

36 of those slots are always numbered 1 to 36, and they’re alternately colored RED or BLACK.

The additional slots are green.

In European roulette there is only one green slot, the “0”.

In American roulette there are two green slots: “0” and “00”.

In Sands roulette a third green slot, “S”, has been added to the wheel.

The green slots are there for one reason:

They make the game’s statistical probabilities uneven.

This is because of the way roulette bets are paid off. You can win anywhere from 35-to-1 (for betting on a single number) down to 1-to-1 (for betting on 18 slots at a time).

The payoffs, called “odds”, are not as fair to you as the actual estimated probabilities of the roulette ball landing on any given slot. This is how the casino makes its money.

In a game of roulette the house should keep at least 2.70% of all the bets players make over time. The casino has no need to cheat the players. In fact, the players often make really bad bets that improve the “house edge”, as that casino profit is called.

One of the other differences between European roulette and both American and Sands roulette is that the European roulette table has an additional betting area. This secondary betting area is used to place specially designed bets. They are more complicated than the normal bets made in American and Sands roulette. I’m going to ignore this section of the table, because I’m going to show you how to place bets that have the best chances of paying off.

Is There a Winning System for Roulette?

Everyone who gets into roulette sooner or later starts to think about how they can “beat the system”.

I’m going to be honest here:

There is no way to do that.

The green slots on the wheel make it impossible for anyone, anywhere, to ever design a betting system that is guaranteed to win. If you really want to guarantee yourself a win every time, then put a chip on each of the 2-to-1 outside bets and on each of the green number bets.

That’s the only way you’ll be paid money every time the wheel spins.

You’ll also go broke.

You may have heard about a system called the Martingale System. It’s a popular betting system with new roulette players.

Smartest Roulette Bets

Experienced roulette players just turn their heads and roll their eyes when someone mentions the Martingale System. The only way you can make money with the Martingale System is to write a book about it and get people to buy your book.

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Even that’s a gamble, though, because most people now know that the Martingale System promises more than it delivers.

Here’s how this system works:

You start out betting the minimum. If you lose, you double your bet. If you win on your doubled bet, you go back to betting the table minimum. If you lose again, you double the size of your bet again.

This sounds great to inexperienced bettors but the problem is that you’ll either run out of money or hit the table limit before you can recoup your losses as they add up.

The Martingale System is a sucker bet, plain and simple.

Every betting system in every form of gambling tries to leverage probability theory. The Martingale System and other roulette betting strategies also rely on probability estimates.

What Is The Highest Bet On Roulette

But there’s a flaw in the thinking behind these systems. If you account for the flaw you’ll be okay. You won’t always win but your expectations will be more reasonable.

The secret to not going broke when you gamble is to set reasonable expectations and maintain your self-discipline. You should never drink or take drugs when you gamble. They lower your inhibitions and impair your judgment.

You might as well just hand your money over to the casino at the cashier window and say “keep it” if you’re going to drink or do drugs when you gamble.

How Do Probabilities Work in Roulette?

Probability theory came out of statistics. It tries to give us rules by which to guess what happens next in any situation. The guesses are seldom accurate predictions. Sometimes the guesses work out, and sometimes they don’t. Gamblers love probability theory because they think it helps them pick the best betting strategies.

You’re actually more likely to double your money during a roulette session if you put all your money on a single bet. The more bets you place, the less likely it becomes to double your money.

That’s because every bet brings you close to the long term expectations. The closer you are to the short term, the more likely you are to get better than expected results.

In roulette, the probabilities are simple. The dealer spins the wheel and releases a ball that whirls around the outside of the wheel and finally settles in a slot. With only 37 slots on a European roulette wheel you have a 1-in-37 probability of the ball landing on a specific slot.

This probability never changes.

This probability is calculated on the basis of all the known possibilities.

What probability theory cannot do, however, is predict where the ball will stop.

Nor can it predict whether the ball will land on red, black, or green any number of times over the next 100 spins.

Nonetheless, a lot of gambling guides tell you that you have the best chances of winning if you do this because of such-and-such probabilities. And many of these guides warn you that there is no way to predict the future, but by setting the expectation that the ball will land on red about 47% of the time, these guides are making predictions and promises they cannot keep.

They’ll even back up their claims by talking about how to run computer simulations for 1 million spins of the wheel so that you see how often the ball lands on red, black, or green.

In the real world the Probability Fairy is always on vacation. She’ll never be there to wave her magic wand to make things happen the way experts say they should. The ball could land on red over the next 20 spins. Or it could land on black or green or some random mix of color combinations.

You have no way of knowing how many of the next [X] spins will turn out a certain way. Talking about probabilities in this way is just dishonest.

What you can do is look at the wheel and ask yourself how much it costs to bet on the largest possible set of numbers. The idea here is to get as much coverage as you can without losing money too fast.

But even if you cover every number on the wheel you’ll lose money.

So the only way to win in roulette–and this is completely random, never guaranteed–is to bet on less than all the numbers on the wheel.

You also want to play bets that pay better than even money. You can place a variety of bets, but most of them aren’t worthwhile.

Betting on single numbers is a bad idea. You can place bets on the lines between the numbers (these are called “street bets”) and on lines at the corners of numbers (these are called “corner bets”).

But even though you get pretty good odds (payoff) you’re still covering too few numbers.

How Bets Work in Roulette

Divide the bets into two groups:

  1. Inside bets
  2. Outside bets

Inside bets are based on individual numbers or small groups of numbers. When you see players betting on the lines, corners, and individual numbers on the table they are making inside bets.

Outside bets are based on pre-selected groups of numbers on the wheel. The “2-to-1” bets cover 12 numbers each: 1 to 12, 13 to 24, and 25 to 36. The “1-to-1” or “even money” bets cover 18 numbers each:

  • Odd
  • Even
  • Black
  • Red
  • 1 to 18
  • 19 to 36

The bets more likely to pay are the even money bets.

But unless you can win 5 times out of 9 on even money bets you’ll lose your stake. That’s the problem with roulette. You always have to win at least 1 more time than you lose no matter how you place your bets.

The “2 to 1” bets pay better than the “1 to 1” bets because they cover fewer numbers. You have less of a chance of winning.

There are 6 types of “2 to 1” bets:

  • 3 kinds of dozens bets: (1 to 12, 13 to 24, and 25 to 36)
  • 3 kinds of columns bets: ([1, 4, 7, 10, 13, 16, 19, 22, 25, 28, 31, 34], [2, 5, 8, 11, 14, 17, 20, 23, 26, 29, 32, 35], [3, 6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24, 27, 30, 33, 36]).

You can make a bet by betting on any two of the “2 to 1” groups. That means that instead of covering only 18 numbers you’ll be covering 24 numbers.

This type of bet is often called the “double dozen” bet. It’s popular among gamblers who like to hedge their bets. They have a better chance (all other things considered) of scoring a win with a “double dozen” than with one of the standard even money bets. If you’re playing it safe and going for even money odds, you should always play a double dozen bet.

If you want to bet more aggressively, then instead of betting more money on your double dozen, you can cover all 36 of the red and black numbers. Leave the green numbers alone. Yes, they’ll come in every now and then, and you’ll lose money.

But there’s a way to keep your losses low.

How to Bet on Columns or Dozens Aggressively

Take 6 chips and distribute them across EITHER the three dozen bets or the three column bets.

Place 3 chips on 1, 2 chips on the 2nd, and 1 chip on the 3rd. If the ball lands on a green number you’ll lose your entire bet, so always play the table minimum with this aggressive style.

If the ball lands on any number with your single chip bet, you’ll win 2 chips and lose 5–for a net loss of 3 chips (half your bet).

That’s the safest way to bet aggressively on the table.

If the ball lands on any number in your 2 chip bet you’ll win 4 chips and lose 4 for no loss. This keeps you in the game.

If the ball lands on any number in your 3chip bet, you’ll win 6 chips and lose 3 for a net gain of 3 chips. This will offset 1 single chip win.

The way this betting strategy works out, your money can grow substantially and still take some big hits. Where the strategy will fail you is when the ball lands on green or if the ball lands on the single chip bet more often than it lands on the 3 chip bet.

Sorry, but there’s no way to prevent that from happening.

There Is No Guaranteed Way to Win in Roulette

I can’t say this often enough:

You can’t win at roulette in the long run.

I think roulette is a fun game to play. It’s exciting because you don’t know where the ball will land. You take an active role in making your wagers.

And you’ll find there are a lot of different betting systems to experiment with. The only thing that is guaranteed in roulette is that the casino will make a profit. What you hope for is that they make their profit at someone else’s expense.

Players who try to improve their luck by making big bets do sometimes win, but most often the people who come out ahead are the patient players who use conservative betting strategies and take money off the table. If you only walk away with your beginning stake you’ll be luckier than most gamblers.

Smartest Roulette Betting

And you can take that to the bank.